Lena de Vries is een maritiem consultant met 15 jaar ervaring in havenlogistiek en scheepsbeheer.
Cyclone Melissa is predicted to escalate to a infrequent Category 5 storm as it veers toward the Caribbean island, bringing deadly flash flooding and mudslides.
This weather system, which had winds of up to 195 km/h as of 06:00 GMT, is presently veering toward the northwest in the Caribbean Sea and is anticipated to hit the coast by early next week, based on data from weather experts.
Advisories of electricity outages and disruption to utilities have been issued as the hurricane brings up to 30 inches of rain and coastal flooding as high as 13ft above normal levels. "Find safe refuge immediately," locals have been advised.
Melissa is the 13th named hurricane in this year's Atlantic season, which usually concludes in late autumn.
A Category 5 cyclone is the most intense classification, with wind speeds of at least 157 miles per hour.
Although Melissa is expected to diminish in strength to a fourth-level cyclone before arriving at Jamaica, meteorologists said there was "very little practical difference in the total effects" upon landfall, and that the cyclone will be "equally strong" when it strikes the island.
With tropical storm-strength winds and rain anticipated well in advance long before it crosses the island's interior - perhaps encompassing the national capital - alerts emphasize that "safety measures need to be finalized quickly".
"An extended timeframe of harmful winds and heavy rainfall has started and will cause severe and deadly rapid water accumulation and many mudslides," counseled meteorological officials.
The nation's leader the statesman said: "I understand that there are numerous residents who are worried, who are extremely apprehensive, and with good reason: worry is natural.
"However the best way to address anxiety and any apprehension and concern is to be prepared."
Residents are being advised to fortify their houses with sand barriers and wooden boards, and to accumulate basic necessities.
Warnings are also active for areas in Haiti encompassing the main city, Port au Prince, the adjacent nation and Cuba's eastern region, where Melissa is expected to bring analogous consequences by the middle portion of the coming week.
Mudslides already being caused by the storm have caused two deaths in Haiti, according to local authorities.
Melissa is forecast to move across the island nation by the middle of the week before traveling via the Greater Antilles and entering the open ocean.
By the moment it reaches Cuba, it is predicted to have reduced to a third-level hurricane.
Even though it is hard to link individual weather events to global warming, experts say it is making weather phenomena increasingly frequent and more severe.
Higher ocean heat create greater water vapor in the atmosphere, contributing to the formation of tropical cyclones.
Prior to the commencement of the current Atlantic hurricane season, climate agencies predicted increased storm frequency, mentioning heated marine conditions and likely enhanced seasonal rains around West Africa - where hurricanes frequently develop.
Lena de Vries is een maritiem consultant met 15 jaar ervaring in havenlogistiek en scheepsbeheer.